TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 10 REVIEW
Day 10, and Aonishiki would not be stopped. A day after beating Onosato, the 22-year-old took on the other yokozuna, Hoshoryu — a low, sharp charge, a left overarm grip, and a spinning throw that sent the yokozuna to the clay. Back-to-back yokozuna scalps, a ninth win, and — despite visibly dragging his injured left foot — he now stands one win from the ten that would restore him to ozeki. Level with him on one loss is Kotoeiho, who has not lost since opening day: nine straight wins, the latest over Abi with a rare twisting backward knee trip. The unheralded man from Chiba (Sadogatake stable) has fought his way into the heart of the title race. Among the two-loss group, Kirishima forced out Hakunofuji to stay alive, while Asanoyama, Takayasu and Takerufuji all won; Shishi fell to Asahakuryu for a second straight defeat. The yokozuna again went separate ways — Onosato bowled over Daieisho, Hoshoryu took a fourth loss. Heading into the final days, Nagoya is shaping into a two-man race.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
金峰山Maegashira #14−10寄り切り62%vs38%
大青山Maegashira #16+9.9
錦富士Maegashira #13+9.0寄り切り60%vs40%
阿武剋Maegashira #15−8.6
朝白龍Maegashira #12+9.7寄り切り48%vs52%
獅司Maegashira #14−10
朝紅龍Maegashira #16+9.0押し出し73%vs27%
御嶽海Maegashira #11−7.0
尊富士Maegashira #13+7.0寄り切り72%vs28%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10−7.6
若元春Maegashira #8+9.5突き落とし66%vs34%
一意Maegashira #15−7.8
琴栄峰Maegashira #7+6.1切り返し62%vs38%
阿炎Maegashira #12−8.0
翔猿Maegashira #9−5.2突き出し21%vs79%
高安Maegashira #7+5.3
正代Maegashira #6−9.5送り出し34%vs66%
狼雅Maegashira #8+9.9
朝乃山Maegashira #10+7.2寄り切り59%vs41%
藤青雲Maegashira #6−8.2
藤凌駕Maegashira #9+8.4押し出し64%vs36%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−8.6
平戸海Maegashira #3−9.5突き落とし54%vs46%
宇良Maegashira #5+11
藤ノ川Maegashira #1−10.0突き出し68%vs32%
隆の勝Maegashira #1+9.8
義ノ富士Komusubi−12押し出し61%vs39%
豪ノ山Maegashira #2+12
一山本Maegashira #4+11寄り切り31%vs69%
琴勝峰Sekiwake−11
熱海富士Sekiwake+6.0寄り切り59%vs41%
美ノ海Maegashira #2−6.5
霧島Ozeki+5.0寄り切り71%vs29%
伯乃富士Maegashira #3−6.2
王鵬Komusubi−8.2上手捻り31%vs69%
琴櫻Ozeki+9.7
豊昇龍Yokozuna−10上手投げ41%vs59%
安青錦Sekiwake+9.2
大栄翔Maegashira #4−5.7浴せ倒し25%vs75%
大の里Yokozuna+5.8
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).