TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 5 REVIEW
Day 5 shook Nagoya again. Kirishima — the last unbeaten man in the upper ranks, chasing yokozuna promotion — was thoroughly beaten by Hiratoumi, who had not won a bout all tournament. Driven back from the initial charge, the ozeki was pushed out with little resistance. That leaves no perfect records in the named ranks: the only unbeaten men in makuuchi are two rank-and-filers, Wakanosho and Shishi. Aonishiki, chasing a return to ozeki, impressively forced out ozeki Kotozakura, and young Fujinokawa kept his upper-rank rampage going by pulling down sekiwake Kotoshoho. The struggling yokozuna finally had a brighter day: Hoshoryu dispatched Gonoyama with a tottari arm bar, Onosato pushed out Churanoumi for a second straight win — and it was the first time this tournament that both yokozuna won on the same day. In the all-new-komusubi clash, Yoshinofuji forced out Oho, while Atamifuji handed Takanosho his first win of the basho. The title race now has Hoshoryu and Aonishiki at the front with Kirishima giving chase — five days in, and Nagoya still refuses to pick a favorite.
Makuuchi
21 bouts
阿武剋Maegashira #15−10寄り倒し49%vs51%
大青山Maegashira #16+12
竜電Juryo #3−8.3掬い投げ27%vs73%
獅司Maegashira #14+7.5
金峰山Maegashira #14+11寄り切り47%vs53%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16−11
一意Maegashira #15−10掬い投げ37%vs63%
尊富士Maegashira #13+10
朝白龍Maegashira #12−10下手出し投げ50%vs50%
阿炎Maegashira #12+10
錦富士Maegashira #13+10上手出し投げ68%vs32%
御嶽海Maegashira #11−9.5
朝乃山Maegashira #10+7.6寄り切り69%vs31%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10−6.9
若ノ勝Maegashira #11+8.5突き出し62%vs38%
翔猿Maegashira #9−9.1
若元春Maegashira #8−12寄り倒し46%vs54%
狼雅Maegashira #8+12
藤凌駕Maegashira #9−8.2叩き込み39%vs61%
高安Maegashira #7+7.5
正代Maegashira #6+12引き落とし43%vs57%
藤青雲Maegashira #6−11
琴栄峰Maegashira #7+9.1寄り切り62%vs38%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−9.1
大栄翔Maegashira #4+8.4押し出し65%vs35%
一山本Maegashira #4−9.7
宇良Maegashira #5−7.8掬い投げ30%vs70%
伯乃富士Maegashira #3+7.8
義ノ富士Komusubi+9.0寄り切り63%vs37%
王鵬Komusubi−8.8
熱海富士Sekiwake−13押し出し69%vs31%
隆の勝Maegashira #1+14
藤ノ川Maegashira #1+11引き落とし52%vs48%
琴勝峰Sekiwake−12
安青錦Sekiwake+6.8寄り切り71%vs29%
琴櫻Ozeki−7.4
霧島Ozeki−17押し出し81%vs19%
平戸海Maegashira #3+17
美ノ海Maegashira #2−4.8押し出し28%vs72%
大の里Yokozuna+5.8
豊昇龍Yokozuna+5.1とったり69%vs31%
豪ノ山Maegashira #2−5.0
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).