TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 8 REVIEW
The middle Sunday thinned the seven-man lead pack down to four. Aonishiki pushed out Takanosho and Kirishima drove out the in-form Atamifuji to stay in front, while the two outsiders refused to fade: Kotoeiho, in just his third top-division tournament, pushed out Ichiyamamoto, and Shishi — beaten for the first time only a day earlier — steadied himself against Kinbozan. Takayasu fell to Ura's quick attack, Takerufuji was pushed out by Mitakeumi, and Nishikifuji lost to Kazuma, all dropping off the pace. Four men at 7-1 — Aonishiki, Kirishima, Kotoeiho and Shishi — lead Hoshoryu, Asanoyama and the 6-2 group into the second week. Both yokozuna won: Hoshoryu handled Daieisho, and Onosato forced out Oho. Kotozakura stopped his slide against Hiratoumi, and Yoshinofuji beat Fujinokawa with a rare outside leg trip. A sekiwake chasing his ozeki rank back, an ozeki chasing the rope, and two men from the bottom half of the banzuke — Nagoya's title race enters the second half in a shape nobody predicted.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
大青山Maegashira #16−8.2下手投げ39%vs61%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16+8.7
金峰山Maegashira #14−11寄り切り47%vs53%
獅司Maegashira #14+8.4
錦富士Maegashira #13−9.6突き落とし58%vs42%
一意Maegashira #15+9.3
尊富士Maegashira #13−12押し出し72%vs28%
御嶽海Maegashira #11+12
朝乃山Maegashira #10+7.2寄り切り68%vs32%
阿武剋Maegashira #15−6.1
阿炎Maegashira #12+8.7押し出し57%vs43%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10−8.5
朝白龍Maegashira #12−8.6蹴返し53%vs47%
翔猿Maegashira #9+10
正代Maegashira #6+11上手投げ35%vs65%
藤凌駕Maegashira #9−11
狼雅Maegashira #8+11上手投げ51%vs49%
藤青雲Maegashira #6−11
宇良Maegashira #5+13押し出し30%vs70%
高安Maegashira #7−13
若元春Maegashira #8−9.7押し出し48%vs52%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5+11
琴栄峰Maegashira #7+8.7押し出し60%vs40%
一山本Maegashira #4−10
豪ノ山Maegashira #2−11押し出し52%vs48%
美ノ海Maegashira #2+11
義ノ富士Komusubi+7.9外掛け53%vs47%
藤ノ川Maegashira #1−8.0
隆の勝Maegashira #1−6.0押し出し24%vs76%
安青錦Sekiwake+5.2
伯乃富士Maegashira #3+9.1突き落とし55%vs45%
琴勝峰Sekiwake−9.8
霧島Ozeki+6.2押し出し62%vs38%
熱海富士Sekiwake−6.9
平戸海Maegashira #3−8.4引き落とし40%vs60%
琴櫻Ozeki+9.2
豊昇龍Yokozuna+5.4押し出し64%vs36%
大栄翔Maegashira #4−5.6
王鵬Komusubi−5.3寄り切り24%vs76%
大の里Yokozuna+6.8
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).