TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 7 REVIEW
Day 7, and Nagoya finally lost its last perfect record. Shishi, the only unbeaten man left, was sent out from behind by fellow maegashira Nishikifuji. Heading into the middle Sunday, seven men — Aonishiki, Kirishima, Takayasu, Takerufuji, Kotoeiho, Nishikifuji and Shishi — now share the lead at six wins and one loss, one of the most crowded races in recent memory. The top rankers did their jobs: Kirishima threw down Kotoshoho, Aonishiki forced out Fujinokawa to stay in front, Hoshoryu beat Hiratoumi with a scooping throw, and Onosato forced out the in-form Hakunofuji to climb back over .500. Kotozakura, however, lost again — beaten by Atamifuji, a man he had long dominated — and the ozeki now has more losses than wins. Takanosho, who opened the basho with four straight defeats, has quietly won three in a row. And there was sad news: 22-year-old Wakanosho, whose five straight wins lit up the first week, withdrew with a right knee injury, giving Kinbozan a walkover. No perfect records, seven men tied on top — from here on, every single bout in Nagoya matters.
Makuuchi
21 bouts
友風Juryo #4−6.6押し出し29%vs71%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16+7.7
阿武剋Maegashira #15−8.2押し出し34%vs66%
尊富士Maegashira #13+8.5
錦富士Maegashira #13+8.4送り出し51%vs49%
獅司Maegashira #14−11
一意Maegashira #15−10.0突き出し48%vs52%
阿炎Maegashira #12+11
朝白龍Maegashira #12−10寄り切り55%vs45%
大青山Maegashira #16+11
若ノ勝Maegashira #11−12不戦57%vs43%
金峰山Maegashira #14+11
朝乃山Maegashira #10+7.1上手投げ73%vs27%
御嶽海Maegashira #11−5.7
藤凌駕Maegashira #9+7.4押し出し69%vs31%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10−7.6
若元春Maegashira #8+9.3押し出し56%vs44%
翔猿Maegashira #9−8.3
琴栄峰Maegashira #7+7.3寄り切り61%vs39%
狼雅Maegashira #8−8.1
正代Maegashira #6−6.5押し出し25%vs75%
高安Maegashira #7+5.9
宇良Maegashira #5−9.5寄り倒し48%vs52%
藤青雲Maegashira #6+10
大栄翔Maegashira #4−13押し出し67%vs33%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5+13
一山本Maegashira #4+10.0押し倒し43%vs57%
美ノ海Maegashira #2−9.6
豪ノ山Maegashira #2+12寄り切り56%vs44%
王鵬Komusubi−11
義ノ富士Komusubi−12浴せ倒し58%vs42%
隆の勝Maegashira #1+13
藤ノ川Maegashira #1−6.7寄り切り28%vs72%
安青錦Sekiwake+5.8
熱海富士Sekiwake+8.4寄り切り63%vs37%
琴櫻Ozeki−8.6
霧島Ozeki+5.6上手投げ76%vs24%
琴勝峰Sekiwake−5.6
伯乃富士Maegashira #3−6.9寄り切り36%vs64%
大の里Yokozuna+6.7
豊昇龍Yokozuna+5.6掬い投げ73%vs27%
平戸海Maegashira #3−4.7
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).