TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 3 REVIEW
Day 3, and Fujinokawa made history again. Fresh off beating Onosato the day before, the young man pushed down yokozuna Hoshoryu for a second straight kinboshi — reportedly the first post-war wrestler to take a kinboshi in each of his first four bouts against a yokozuna — the last to win four straight over yokozuna was Musashiyama in 1931. For the two yokozuna it has been a bruising open: Hoshoryu suffered his first loss, and while Onosato ended his skid by pushing out Takanosho, he remains in a hole. Out front are the unbeaten men — yokozuna-hopeful ozeki Kirishima, ozeki-chasing sekiwake Aonishiki, sekiwake Atamifuji and Kotoshoho, and veteran Takayasu — spreading the title race from the sanyaku down through the ranks. With both yokozuna stumbling early, Nagoya is shaping up as a wide-open scramble.
Makuuchi
21 bouts
時疾風Juryo #2−8.0寄り切り49%vs51%
一意Maegashira #15+8.0
阿武剋Maegashira #15−10寄り切り39%vs61%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16+11
大青山Maegashira #16−11寄り切り40%vs60%
獅司Maegashira #14+10
錦富士Maegashira #13+11寄り切り54%vs46%
金峰山Maegashira #14−11
尊富士Maegashira #13+10押し倒し61%vs39%
阿炎Maegashira #12−11
若ノ勝Maegashira #11+9.3送り出し59%vs41%
朝白龍Maegashira #12−10.0
御嶽海Maegashira #11−11寄り切り44%vs56%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10+12
藤凌駕Maegashira #9+12押し倒し50%vs50%
朝乃山Maegashira #10−12
翔猿Maegashira #9−11寄り切り40%vs60%
狼雅Maegashira #8+12
琴栄峰Maegashira #7+11寄り切り64%vs36%
若元春Maegashira #8−11
高安Maegashira #7+7.4叩き込み68%vs32%
藤青雲Maegashira #6−8.5
宇良Maegashira #5−12寄り倒し56%vs44%
正代Maegashira #6+13
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−9.8押し出し47%vs53%
一山本Maegashira #4+9.8
平戸海Maegashira #3−11引き落とし39%vs61%
大栄翔Maegashira #4+11
義ノ富士Komusubi−13押し出し55%vs45%
琴勝峰Sekiwake+12
熱海富士Sekiwake+9.5上手出し投げ73%vs27%
王鵬Komusubi−9.7
伯乃富士Maegashira #3−7.7寄り切り31%vs69%
安青錦Sekiwake+6.9
美ノ海Maegashira #2+14押し出し42%vs58%
琴櫻Ozeki−14
霧島Ozeki+4.9押し出し78%vs22%
豪ノ山Maegashira #2−4.8
隆の勝Maegashira #1−5.6押し出し28%vs72%
大の里Yokozuna+6.8
豊昇龍Yokozuna−17突き落とし65%vs35%
藤ノ川Maegashira #1+16
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).