TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 4 REVIEW
Day 4 belonged to the ozeki. Kirishima, chasing yokozuna promotion, brushed aside Takanosho — a man who has tormented him for years — to stay the only unbeaten wrestler in the upper ranks. Kotozakura calmly slapped down Fujinokawa, finally halting the youngster who had toppled both yokozuna on consecutive days. Onosato, meanwhile, fell again: pushed out by Gonoyama for another kinboshi conceded, a punishing start for the returning yokozuna. Hoshoryu steadied himself by thrusting down Churanoumi. In the sanyaku the upsets kept coming — previously unbeaten Aonishiki was thrown by new komusubi Yoshinofuji for his first loss, Kotoshoho fell to Oho, and Atamifuji lost to Daieisho, stalling all three in-form sekiwake at once. Yoshinofuji, who simply seems to have Aonishiki's number, is making a striking debut in the named ranks. Down the banzuke, Wakanosho and Shishi kept their perfect records intact. At the top, only Kirishima remains unbeaten — the yokozuna-chasing ozeki has taken the early lead in a wide-open Nagoya.
Makuuchi
21 bouts
阿武剋Maegashira #15−13寄り切り70%vs30%
佐田の海Juryo #2+15
一意Maegashira #15−13寄り切り39%vs61%
獅司Maegashira #14+11
錦富士Maegashira #13+11寄り切り47%vs53%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16−12
大青山Maegashira #16−8.8寄り切り33%vs67%
尊富士Maegashira #13+8.8
金峰山Maegashira #14+12寄り切り55%vs45%
阿炎Maegashira #12−12
若ノ勝Maegashira #11+8.6突き出し75%vs25%
御嶽海Maegashira #11−8.6
朝白龍Maegashira #12+11寄り切り62%vs38%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10−10.0
藤凌駕Maegashira #9+9.1押し出し76%vs24%
翔猿Maegashira #9−9.1
朝乃山Maegashira #10+8.7寄り切り62%vs38%
狼雅Maegashira #8−8.1
琴栄峰Maegashira #7+13寄り切り41%vs59%
高安Maegashira #7−14
若元春Maegashira #8+11突き落とし50%vs50%
藤青雲Maegashira #6−11
宇良Maegashira #5+11上手出し投げ55%vs45%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−9.5
正代Maegashira #6−8.8押し出し40%vs60%
一山本Maegashira #4+8.7
平戸海Maegashira #3−9.4叩き込み45%vs55%
伯乃富士Maegashira #3+9.8
義ノ富士Komusubi+13上手投げ32%vs68%
安青錦Sekiwake−14
王鵬Komusubi+11押し出し38%vs62%
琴勝峰Sekiwake−12
熱海富士Sekiwake−14突き落とし65%vs35%
大栄翔Maegashira #4+12
霧島Ozeki+5.0押し出し76%vs24%
隆の勝Maegashira #1−4.9
藤ノ川Maegashira #1−11叩き込み55%vs45%
琴櫻Ozeki+10.0
豊昇龍Yokozuna+4.9突き落とし63%vs37%
美ノ海Maegashira #2−4.7
豪ノ山Maegashira #2+17押し出し24%vs76%
大の里Yokozuna−16
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).