TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 1 REVIEW
Day 1 opened with a jolt. Yokozuna Onosato, back after two tournaments out, was overpowered and pushed out by new komusubi Yoshinofuji, who took the fight straight to him for a statement win. The other yokozuna, Hoshoryu, calmly saw off Oho, while ozeki Kirishima — chasing promotion to yokozuna — beat Fujinokawa and ozeki Kotozakura downed Takanosho. Sekiwake Aonishiki, eyeing an ozeki return, threw Hiratoumi; fellow sekiwake Kotoshoho and Atamifuji also won, giving the sanyaku a solid start. Among the rank and file, former ozeki Takayasu beat Wakamotoharu and Asanoyama downed Tobizaru. Makuuchi debutant Daiseizan won his first, while the other newcomer, Kazuma, fell. Onosato was the only man at the top to lose — and the title race is already taking shape around Hoshoryu and the sanyaku.
Makuuchi
21 bouts
旭海雄Juryo #1−11小手投げ39%vs61%
朝紅龍Maegashira #16+11
大青山Maegashira #16+14下手投げ47%vs53%
一意Maegashira #15−14
阿武剋Maegashira #15−13寄り切り39%vs61%
獅司Maegashira #14+13
金峰山Maegashira #14−10寄り切り41%vs59%
尊富士Maegashira #13+10
錦富士Maegashira #13−11押し出し56%vs44%
阿炎Maegashira #12+11
朝白龍Maegashira #12+12寄り切り62%vs38%
御嶽海Maegashira #11−12
若ノ勝Maegashira #11+10突き出し65%vs35%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10−10
朝乃山Maegashira #10+9.1突き倒し66%vs34%
翔猿Maegashira #9−9.1
藤凌駕Maegashira #9+10寄り切り57%vs43%
狼雅Maegashira #8−10
若元春Maegashira #8−8.5叩き込み29%vs71%
高安Maegashira #7+8.5
琴栄峰Maegashira #7−12外掛け62%vs38%
藤青雲Maegashira #6+12
正代Maegashira #6−11押し出し43%vs57%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5+11
宇良Maegashira #5−12引き落とし46%vs54%
一山本Maegashira #4+12
大栄翔Maegashira #4−11押し出し48%vs52%
伯乃富士Maegashira #3+11
平戸海Maegashira #3−7.1上手投げ21%vs79%
安青錦Sekiwake+7.1
美ノ海Maegashira #2−9.4押し出し45%vs55%
琴勝峰Sekiwake+9.4
熱海富士Sekiwake+8.9押し出し68%vs32%
豪ノ山Maegashira #2−8.9
隆の勝Maegashira #1−11突き落とし43%vs57%
琴櫻Ozeki+11
霧島Ozeki+6.2押し倒し75%vs25%
藤ノ川Maegashira #1−6.2
義ノ富士Komusubi+15押し出し36%vs64%
大の里Yokozuna−15
豊昇龍Yokozuna+7.2渡し込み74%vs26%
王鵬Komusubi−7.2
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).