TORIKUMI
July Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 11 REVIEW
Day 11, and Aonishiki finished the job. He calmly forced out Gonoyama for his tenth win — the number that triggers his automatic return to ozeki after just one tournament away, only the eighth such immediate comeback in history and the first since Takakeisho in 2019. 'Winning ten never made me happy before, but this time is special. I'm simply happy,' said the normally unflappable 22-year-old. The day got even better for him: Kotoeiho's nine-bout winning run was ended by Shishi, leaving Aonishiki alone at the top of the race — the ozeki rank recovered, and now the Emperor's Cup within reach. Shishi, by stopping Kotoeiho, kept himself two losses back alongside Kirishima, Takayasu and Takerufuji, who won his head-to-head with Asanoyama. Among the top rankers, Hoshoryu threw down Kotoshoho, while Onosato was pushed out by Atamifuji for yet another loss. Kirishima cruised past Ichiyamamoto and remains two back with four days to run. Nagoya's story now revolves around the 22-year-old from Ukraine.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
大青山Maegashira #16+10.0送り出し45%vs55%
阿炎Maegashira #12−9.8
朝紅龍Maegashira #16+8.2押し倒し62%vs38%
千代翔馬Maegashira #10−7.4
朝乃山Maegashira #10−11寄り切り52%vs48%
尊富士Maegashira #13+9.3
藤凌駕Maegashira #9+8.0押し倒し65%vs35%
一意Maegashira #15−7.3
阿武剋Maegashira #15−7.6掬い投げ38%vs62%
狼雅Maegashira #8+9.3
若元春Maegashira #8+7.8小手投げ50%vs50%
金峰山Maegashira #14−7.8
琴栄峰Maegashira #7−13寄り倒し62%vs38%
獅司Maegashira #14+9.5
御嶽海Maegashira #11−6.0寄り切り33%vs67%
藤青雲Maegashira #6+7.6
正代Maegashira #6−9.2押し出し48%vs52%
朝白龍Maegashira #12+10
翔猿Maegashira #9−7.6叩き込み42%vs58%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5+8.5
大栄翔Maegashira #4−13叩き込み66%vs34%
錦富士Maegashira #13+11
高安Maegashira #7+8.1寄り切り50%vs50%
伯乃富士Maegashira #3−9.9
藤ノ川Maegashira #1+8.8掬い投げ59%vs41%
平戸海Maegashira #3−7.5
隆の勝Maegashira #1+10寄り切り55%vs45%
王鵬Komusubi−8.5
義ノ富士Komusubi−12押し出し59%vs41%
美ノ海Maegashira #2+13
豪ノ山Maegashira #2−5.5寄り切り25%vs75%
安青錦Sekiwake+4.1
宇良Maegashira #5−6.7押し倒し32%vs68%
琴櫻Ozeki+7.0
霧島Ozeki+3.7押し出し83%vs17%
一山本Maegashira #4−3.8
熱海富士Sekiwake+11押し出し47%vs53%
大の里Yokozuna−11
豊昇龍Yokozuna+6.0上手投げ67%vs33%
琴勝峰Sekiwake−4.9
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).