TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 5 REVIEW
Day five wiped out the last unbeaten record. Kotozakura, the only man without a loss, was pushed out by Minoumi; Aonishiki could do nothing against Gonoyama's charge and was forced down, a second straight loss after Hakunofuji, leaving him 3-2. Onosato, by contrast, got his right arm inside on Yoshinofuji — a man he had never beaten in four meetings, forfeit aside — went forward and forced him out without alarm for his fourth win. Kirishima sent out Takanosho and Atamifuji pushed out Daieisho, so both promotion candidates are 4-1. New sekiwake Fujinokawa pushed out Hakunofuji for a third win, leaving Hakunofuji 1-4; Kotoshoho at maegashira one pushed out Takayasu, conqueror of Kirishima and Onosato, for his second. Debutant Kotobukinofuji forced out Shonannoumi, a fourth straight win after opening 0-2, and Asanoyama, Ura, Roga and Minoumi are also 4-1 — nine men share the lead after five days. Shodai, Shonannoumi, Ichiyamamoto and Yoshinofuji are 0-5. In juryo Nabatame forfeited to Tanji; in makushita the bout between the two men at makushita one went to Asahifuji, who threw Nishinoryu.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
湘南乃海Maegashira #17−8.6寄り切り35%vs65%
寿之富士Maegashira #16+9.2
玉鷲Juryo #3−9.1寄り切り54%vs46%
千代翔馬Maegashira #14+9.4
翔猿Maegashira #14+12引き落とし36%vs64%
朝翠龍Maegashira #15−12
朝紅龍Maegashira #13−13叩き込み59%vs41%
時疾風Maegashira #15+12
阿炎Maegashira #13+10押し出し62%vs38%
正代Maegashira #11−8.9
朝白龍Maegashira #12+11寄り切り45%vs55%
金峰山Maegashira #10−12
王鵬Maegashira #10−11寄り切り53%vs47%
獅司Maegashira #9+12
宇良Maegashira #9+9.5外掛け50%vs50%
若元春Maegashira #11−11
平戸海Maegashira #8+9.7押し出し63%vs37%
一山本Maegashira #6−8.3
朝乃山Maegashira #6+9.6突き落とし55%vs45%
尊富士Maegashira #8−11
錦富士Maegashira #7−10押し出し51%vs49%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5+11
狼雅Maegashira #5+9.5押し倒し47%vs53%
藤青雲Maegashira #7−11
藤凌駕Maegashira #4+12寄り切り54%vs46%
琴栄峰Maegashira #1−11
琴勝峰Maegashira #1+12押し出し46%vs54%
高安Maegashira #2−12
伯乃富士Komusubi−11押し出し37%vs63%
藤ノ川Sekiwake+11
熱海富士Sekiwake+7.8押し出し65%vs35%
大栄翔Komusubi−7.2
霧島Ozeki+4.6送り出し76%vs24%
隆の勝Maegashira #4−5.0
安青錦Ozeki−16押し倒し77%vs23%
豪ノ山Maegashira #3+16
美ノ海Maegashira #3+11押し出し47%vs53%
琴櫻Ozeki−13
大の里Yokozuna+7.4寄り切り67%vs33%
義ノ富士Maegashira #2−6.2
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).