TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 9 REVIEW
Onosato pulled down Fujiryoga for 8-1, the only winning record in makuuchi so far. In the two-loss showdown Fujinokawa threw Kotozakura for 7-2; Kotozakura has lost two straight and is 6-3. Kirishima was pulled down by Daieisho for 5-4, his first back-to-back losses of the basho. Atamifuji forced down Takayasu for 7-2 and Aonishiki beat Yoshinofuji by scoop throw for 6-3; Hakunofuji forced out Kotoeiho for 3-6. Among the maegashira Minoumi pushed out Roga and Kinbozan forced down Chiyoshoma, both 7-2, while Asanoyama, Ura and Kotobukinofuji lost — to Takanosho, Oshoma and Wakamotoharu — for a third defeat each. Shodai was pulled down by Tobizaru, ending his run at two. After nine days Onosato leads at 8-1, four men are 7-2 (Atamifuji, Fujinokawa, Minoumi, Kinbozan) and nine are 6-3. In juryo Kagayaki won the battle of the unbeaten against Kayo for 9-0; in makushita Tenshozan and in sandanme Naya are both 5-0.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
佐田の海Juryo #5−6.1寄り切り26%vs74%
時疾風Maegashira #15+6.0
湘南乃海Maegashira #17−7.7押し出し36%vs64%
阿炎Maegashira #13+8.2
翔猿Maegashira #14+10引き落とし50%vs50%
正代Maegashira #11−8.8
若元春Maegashira #11+8.8寄り切り55%vs45%
寿之富士Maegashira #16−9.8
千代翔馬Maegashira #14−7.9押し倒し33%vs67%
金峰山Maegashira #10+6.7
朝翠龍Maegashira #15−7.5叩き込み41%vs59%
平戸海Maegashira #8+7.9
尊富士Maegashira #8+7.9寄り切り55%vs45%
朝紅龍Maegashira #13−8.5
朝白龍Maegashira #12−8.2寄り切り47%vs53%
錦富士Maegashira #7+9.1
藤青雲Maegashira #7+9.6寄り切り52%vs48%
王鵬Maegashira #10−9.5
獅司Maegashira #9+10小手投げ54%vs46%
一山本Maegashira #6−8.3
宇良Maegashira #9−10叩き込み55%vs45%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5+9.0
隆の勝Maegashira #4+9.2引き落とし44%vs56%
朝乃山Maegashira #6−9.7
狼雅Maegashira #5−8.5押し出し33%vs67%
美ノ海Maegashira #3+6.5
琴勝峰Maegashira #1+9.0押し出し54%vs46%
豪ノ山Maegashira #3−8.6
伯乃富士Komusubi+9.1寄り切り55%vs45%
琴栄峰Maegashira #1−7.7
熱海富士Sekiwake+7.1押し倒し60%vs40%
高安Maegashira #2−7.0
藤ノ川Sekiwake+8.5上手投げ55%vs45%
琴櫻Ozeki−10
霧島Ozeki−14引き落とし72%vs28%
大栄翔Komusubi+15
安青錦Ozeki+6.2掬い投げ68%vs32%
義ノ富士Maegashira #2−5.4
大の里Yokozuna+4.5引き落とし75%vs25%
藤凌駕Maegashira #4−4.8
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).