TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 8 REVIEW
After the middle day Onosato is the only man with one loss, having forced out Takanosho for 7-1. Kotozakura was pushed out by new komusubi Hakunofuji for a second loss; Hakunofuji is 2-6. Kirishima, on a yokozuna run, was forced down by Minoumi for a third loss — all three to maegashira — and is 5-3. Aonishiki forced out Daieisho for 5-3, leaving Daieisho 2-6. Atamifuji thrust down Kotoeiho at the edge and Fujinokawa pushed out Takayasu, so both sekiwake are 6-2. Ura, Asanoyama, Kinbozan and Kotobukinofuji all won to stay 6-2, and with Minoumi, Kotozakura, Atamifuji and Fujinokawa the two-loss group is eight men. Shodai slapped down Asasuiryu for two straight. In juryo Kayo was forced out by Ryuden for his first loss and Kagayaki is 8-0 alone; in makushita Tenshozan is 4-0.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
御嶽海Juryo #4−7.2寄り倒し30%vs70%
寿之富士Maegashira #16+6.6
翔猿Maegashira #14−9.5寄り倒し41%vs59%
時疾風Maegashira #15+9.3
朝紅龍Maegashira #13+7.3寄り切り68%vs32%
千代翔馬Maegashira #14−7.7
湘南乃海Maegashira #17+12寄り切り36%vs64%
朝白龍Maegashira #12−10
若元春Maegashira #11−10押し出し57%vs43%
阿炎Maegashira #13+9.8
朝翠龍Maegashira #15−11叩き込み64%vs36%
正代Maegashira #11+12
藤青雲Maegashira #7−11寄り切り52%vs48%
金峰山Maegashira #10+9.4
王鵬Maegashira #10+9.9押し出し52%vs48%
錦富士Maegashira #7−8.0
朝乃山Maegashira #6+7.5寄り切り64%vs36%
獅司Maegashira #9−7.8
宇良Maegashira #9+9.5とったり59%vs41%
一山本Maegashira #6−9.1
狼雅Maegashira #5−9.4寄り切り43%vs57%
平戸海Maegashira #8+9.0
尊富士Maegashira #8+8.2押し倒し59%vs41%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−8.8
豪ノ山Maegashira #3−10送り出し48%vs52%
藤凌駕Maegashira #4+11
琴勝峰Maegashira #1−9.1上手投げ42%vs58%
義ノ富士Maegashira #2+9.5
熱海富士Sekiwake+6.1突き落とし68%vs32%
琴栄峰Maegashira #1−6.0
高安Maegashira #2−10押し出し42%vs58%
藤ノ川Sekiwake+9.4
霧島Ozeki−16押し倒し67%vs33%
美ノ海Maegashira #3+15
安青錦Ozeki+6.3寄り切り76%vs24%
大栄翔Komusubi−5.2
伯乃富士Komusubi+11押し出し42%vs58%
琴櫻Ozeki−10
大の里Yokozuna+5.0寄り切り79%vs21%
隆の勝Maegashira #4−5.5
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).