TORIKUMI
September Basho 2026 — Bouts
All-division matchups with rating-based win probabilities. Tap a bout for a head-to-head comparison.
DAY 6 REVIEW
A day of upsets. Kirishima, chasing the rope, was thrown at the edge by Yoshinofuji for his second loss — Yoshinofuji's first win, on day six. Aonishiki was forced out by new sekiwake Fujinokawa, a third straight loss after Hakunofuji and Gonoyama, and at 3-3 his ozeki-return basho is level; Fujinokawa is 4-2. Onosato slapped down Gonoyama, Kotozakura thrust out Takanosho and Atamifuji, on an ozeki run, pushed out Kotoshoho, so those three are 5-1. In the komusubi bout Daieisho slapped down Hakunofuji, and Kotoeiho at maegashira one pushed out Takayasu. Debutant Kotobukinofuji forced down Chiyoshoma for a fifth straight win and 5-1; Asanoyama, Ura and Minoumi are also 5-1, so seven men share the lead. Shodai, Shonannoumi and Ichiyamamoto are 0-6. In juryo Nabatame, back from a forfeit, thrust down Tokifudo, and Tanji is 5-1; in makushita Tenshozan pulled down Wakamasa for 3-0.
Makuuchi
20 bouts
湘南乃海Maegashira #17−8.8寄り切り39%vs61%
時疾風Maegashira #15+9.9
翔猿Maegashira #14+9.8叩き込み45%vs55%
阿武剋Juryo #3−9.9
寿之富士Maegashira #16+8.0寄り倒し64%vs36%
千代翔馬Maegashira #14−9.3
朝翠龍Maegashira #15−11叩き込み52%vs48%
阿炎Maegashira #13+10
王鵬Maegashira #10−11寄り切り48%vs52%
若元春Maegashira #11+11
朝紅龍Maegashira #13−11送り出し51%vs49%
金峰山Maegashira #10+10
宇良Maegashira #9+8.4押し出し57%vs43%
朝白龍Maegashira #12−9.7
正代Maegashira #11−7.4寄り切り36%vs64%
獅司Maegashira #9+8.9
朝乃山Maegashira #6+9.2突き落とし55%vs45%
平戸海Maegashira #8−10
尊富士Maegashira #8+9.2寄り切り63%vs37%
一山本Maegashira #6−7.9
狼雅Maegashira #5−11突き落とし51%vs49%
錦富士Maegashira #7+11
藤青雲Maegashira #7+9.6押し出し55%vs45%
欧勝馬Maegashira #5−10
藤凌駕Maegashira #4−9.9切り返し44%vs56%
美ノ海Maegashira #3+8.8
高安Maegashira #2−12押し出し59%vs41%
琴栄峰Maegashira #1+12
伯乃富士Komusubi−9.8叩き込み51%vs49%
大栄翔Komusubi+11
熱海富士Sekiwake+6.7押し出し63%vs37%
琴勝峰Maegashira #1−7.2
隆の勝Maegashira #4−9.4突き出し36%vs64%
琴櫻Ozeki+7.9
霧島Ozeki−15上手投げ64%vs36%
義ノ富士Maegashira #2+16
安青錦Ozeki−15寄り切り65%vs35%
藤ノ川Sekiwake+14
大の里Yokozuna+5.7叩き込み76%vs24%
豪ノ山Maegashira #3−6.1
Win % = Glicko-2 expected score from each wrestler's latest rating. Shown for Juryo and above only — lower divisions have provisional ratings, so their predictions are unreliable. Bouts listed in fight order (main event last). Start times (~H:MM) are rough estimates based on the standard daily schedule and may shift with the day's pace. Green/red ± figures show the rating change from that bout — the bigger the upset, the bigger the number (provisional during the basho; new wrestlers can swing widely while their rating settles).